A prediction model for breast cancer recurrence after adjuvant hormone therapy.

Hormone therapy with tamoxifen has long been the established adjuvant treatment for node-positive, estrogen-receptor-positive breast cancer in postmenopausal women. Since 30-40% of these patients fail to respond, reliableoutcome prediction is necessary for successful treatment allocation. Using pathobiological variables (available in mostclinical records: tumor size, nodal involvement, estrogen and progesterone receptor content) from 596 patients recruitedat a comprehensive cancer center, we developed a prediction model which we validated in an independent cohort of 175patients recruited at a general hospital. Calculated at 3 and 4 years of follow-up, the discrimination indices were 0.716[confidence limits (CL) 0.641, 0.752] and 0.714 (CL 0.650, 0.750) for the training data, and 0.726 (CL 0.591, 0.769) and0.677 (CL 0.580, 0.745) for the testing data. Waiting for more effective approaches from genomic and proteomic studies, amodel based on consolidated pathobiological variables routinely assessed at relatively low costs may be considered as thereference for assessing the gain of new markers over traditional ones, thus substantially improving the conventional use ofprognostic criteria.

Interchangeability and diagnostic accuracy of two assays for total and free prostate-specific antigen: two not always related items.

The variation between different PSA assays seems to influence the interpretation of individual PSA values and the clinical decisions about prostate cancer. One reason for this variability could be the different reactivity of antibodies for the various molecular forms of serum PSA; as a result, samples containing the same amount of tPSA but different proportions of fPSA can produce very different values. In this study, serum samples were collected prospectively from 152 consecutive patients referred to 2 institutions (Regional Hospital, Venice, 90 subjects; San Bortolo Hospital, Vicenza, 62 subjects) for PSA elevation and/or symptoms. Serum samples were assessed according to the manufacturers' instructions on the following 2 analyzers: the Immulite 2000 assay (Diagnostic Products Corporation, Los Angeles, USA), which measures tPSA and fPSA, and the ADVIA Centaur (Bayer Diagnostics, Tarrytown, USA), which assays tPSA and cPSA. cPSA values were transformed into fPSA by the equation fPSA=tPSA-cPSA. When taking Immulite tPSA and f/tPSA values as 100%, ADVIA Centaur values were 92.6% and 122%, respectively, which means that 20% of patients would be classified differently according to the traditional biopsy cutoff. In conclusion, there are considerable differences between the 2 methods, which could affect clinical decisions.

Comparison between two methods in the determination of circulating chromogranin A in neuroendocrine tumors (NETs): results of a prospective multicenter observational study.

Several methods for analyzing CgA using either monoclonal or polyclonal antibodies have been developed, which differ in their diagnostic performance. The present paper describes the results of a prospective multicenter study aimed at comparing the clinical value of the two most widely used commercially available CgA assay kits in patients affected by neuroendocrine tumors (NETs). Two hundred sixty-one patients from 40 different centers and 99 healthy subjects were evaluated. CgA levels were measured with two different methods, a two-step immunoradiometric assay (IRMA) and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). CgA was measured centrally by two reference laboratories, one of which used IRMA and the other ELISA, and it was measured by the participating institutions with the method routinely used by each of them. The major findings of the present study were: (i) the two assays for the determination of CgA present good diagnostic performance; (ii) both assays are robust and guarantee comparable results when applied in different settings (central vs local laboratory); (iii) the negative/positive cutoff points (87 ng/mL for IRMA and 21.3 U/L for ELISA) were established according to standardized criteria; (iv) the results obtained with the two assays in basal clinical samples of patients affected by NETs show an apparently satisfactory correlation (rs = 0.843, p < 0.0001). However, a possibly clinically meaningful 36% discordance rate was found. These findings support the hypothesis that the two CgA kits might provide partially different information.

The prognostic value of vascular endothelial growth factor, urokinase plasminogen activator and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 in node-negative breast cancer.

The vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and the plasminogen activator system play an essential role in solid tumor angiogenesis and in tumor invasion and metastasis. In the present study we investigated the relationship between patient outcome and levels of VEGF, urokinase plasminogen activator (uPA) and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) in tumor cytosols of 196 node-negative primary invasive breast cancer patients who did not receive any adjuvant therapy. The median follow-up was 65 months. VEGF, uPA and PAI-1 were measured by commercially available enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. Cox's univariate analysis showed that pT (p = 0.0007), uPA (p = 0.0156) and PAI-1 (p = 0.0015) had a significant impact on relapse-free survival, whereas VEGF did not have any prognostic value (p = 0.18). Bivariate analysis showed significant interactions between uPA and PAI-1 (p = 0.0035) and between VEGF and PAI-1 (p = 0.006). Our study confirms that uPA and PAI-1 cytosol levels can be considered as prognostic factors for relapse-free survival in node-negative breast cancer. Moreover, the interaction between VEGF and PAI-1 warrants further investigation into the relationship between the biomarkers of angiogenesis and those of the protease cascade.

Blood glutathione as a surrogate marker of cancer tissue glutathione S-transferase activity in non-small cell lung cancer and squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck.

The identification of markers predicting the response to therapy is of the utmost importance in oncology. Several authors have suggested that increased levels of glutathione (GSH) and glutathione S-transferase (GST) activity might be meaningful predictors of poor responsiveness to chemotherapy in several human cancers, but the biological assays have not been standardised and published studies show conflicting evidence. The aim of the present study was to select a validated panel of tests to assess the GST/GSH system in a clinical setting. Matched blood and tissue samples (normal and malignant) from 52 cancer patients with either non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) or head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (SCCHN) were investigated. GSH levels and GST activity were higher in cancer tissues than in matched normal tissues in both malignancies. The difference was statistically significant in NSCLC (P=0.0004 and P=0.0002, for GSH and GST, respectively) and borderline in SCCHN (P=0.03 and P=0.02, for GSH and GST, respectively). Moreover a strong correlation was found between the GSH level in whole blood and GST activity in cancer tissue in both malignancies (P=0.003, r=0.53 in NSCLC, P<0.0001, r=0.89 in SCCHN). In conclusion, reliable and robust methods for routine use in tissue extracts and in whole blood have been validated. Our finding regarding the GSH level in blood indicates that circulating GSH could have a clinical relevance as a surrogate marker of GST activity in tumour tissue.

Quality control for biomarker determination in oncology: the experience of the Italian Network for Quality Assessment of Tumor Biomarkers (INQAT).

Biomarker analysis and evaluation in oncology is the product of a number of processes (including managerial, technical and interpretation steps) which need to be monitored and controlled to prevent and correct errors and guarantee a satisfactory level of quality. Several biomarkers have recently moved to clinical validation studies and successively to clinical practice without any definition of standard procedures and/or quality control (QC) schemes necessary to guarantee the reproducibility of the laboratory information. In Italy several national scientific societies and single researchers have activated -- often on a pilot level -- specific external quality assessment protocols, thereby potentially jeopardizing the clinical reality even further. In view of the seriousness of the problem, in 1998 the Italian Ministry of Health sponsored a National Survey Project to coordinate and standardize the procedures and to develop QC programs for the analysis of cancer biomarkers of potential clinical relevance. Twelve QC programs focused on biomarkers and concerning morphological, immunohistochemical, biochemical, molecular, and immunoenzymatic assays were coordinated and implemented. Specifically, external QC programs for the analytical phase of immunohistochemical p53, Bcl-2, c-erb-2/neu/HER2, and microvessel density determination, of morphological evaluation of tumor differentiation grade, and of molecular p53 analysis were activated for the first time within the project. Several hundreds of Italian laboratories took part in these QC programs, the results of which are available on the web site of the Network (www.cqlaboncologico.it). Financial support from the Italian Government and the National Research Council (CNR) will guarantee the pursuit of activities that will be extended to new biomarkers, to preanalytical phases of the assays, and to revision of the criteria of clinical usefulness for evaluating the cost/benefit ratio.

Prognostic role of serum CA15.3 in 362 node-negative breast cancers. An old player for a new game.

The aims of the present investigation were to evaluate the association between serum CA15.3 levels and other biological and clinical variables and its prognostic role in patients with node-negative breast cancer. We evaluated 362 patients operated upon primary breast cancer from 1982 to 1992 (median follow-up 69 months). Serum CA15.3 was measured by an immunoradiometric assay. The association between variables was investigated by a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and the prognostic role of CA15.3 on relapse-free survival (RFS) was investigated by Cox regression models adjusting for age, oestrogen receptor (ER), tumour stage, and ER x age interaction, with both the likelihood ratio test and Harrell's c statistic. The prognostic contribution of CA 15.3 was highly significant. Log relative hazard of relapse was constant until approximately 10 (U/ml) of CA15.3 and increased thereafter with increasing marker levels. CA15.3 showed a significant contribution using as a cut-off point a value of 31 U/ml. However, the contribution to the model of the marker as a continuous variable is much greater. From these findings, we can conclude that: (i) CA15.3 is a prognostic marker in node-negative breast cancer; (ii) its relationship with prognosis is continuous, with the risk of relapse increasing progressively from approximately 10 U/ml.

Validation of blood collection procedures for the determination of circulating vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in different blood compartments.

AIMS OF THE STUDY: Studies on circulating VEGF have reported mixed results, possibly due to a lack of standardization of the pre-analytical phase. The aim of our investigation was to standardize the sampling procedure for the determination of VEGF in different blood fractions. BASIC PROCEDURES: We evaluated various clotting times for obtaining serum in 30 subjects, as well as different procedures for the preparation of plasma Edinburgh anticoagulant mixture (EDTA, PGE1, theophylline) and CTAD. VEGF was also assayed in lysed whole blood. In vitro platelet activation was monitored by measuring the levels of PF4. VEGF and PF4 were measured using commercially available enzyme-linked immunoassays. MAIN FINDINGS: Clotting time increased the release of VEGF, which reached a plateau between 2 and 4 hours. The percent increase of VEGF at 2 hours ranged from 118% to 4,515% (median 327%) compared to samples centrifuged within 10 min from withdrawal. VEGF was not different and PF4 was very low or undetectable in Edinburgh plasma and CTAD plasma, while it was significantly higher in sodium citrate plasma. VEGF in CTAD plasma was not correlated with platelet count or leukocytes. Serum VEGF did not correlate with the leukocyte number, but it correlated significantly with the platelet count. PRINCIPAL CONCLUSIONS: The procedures for sample collection described above are highly standardized and easy to perform in a routine setting. We therefore suggest systematic evaluation of VEGF in CTAD plasma, in serum (clotting for 2 hours at room temperature) and in whole blood, until prospective controlled clinical studies will have clarified in which blood compartment(s) VEGF provides clinically relevant information.

Thrombospondin-1 and -2 in node-negative breast cancer: correlation with angiogenic factors, p53, cathepsin D, hormone receptors and prognosis.

OBJECTIVE: Thrombospondins (TSP(s)) are a multigene family of five secreted glycoproteins involved in the regulation of cell proliferation, adhesion and migration. Two members of the TSP family, namely TSP-1 and TSP-2, are also naturally occurring inhibitors of angiogenesis. The aim of the present study was to determine the prognostic significance of the determination of TSP-1 and -2 and their correlation with the angiogenic peptides vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and thymidine phosphorylase (TP), as well as with other biological and clinicopathological features investigated. METHODS: We evaluated a series of 168 women with node-negative breast cancer with a median follow-up period of 66 months, not treated with adjuvant therapy. The cytosolic levels of TSP-1 and -2 were determined in the primary tumour by a commercially available immunometric assay. RESULTS: We found that 166 tested tumours had measurable levels of TSP-1 and -2 protein (median value 5.978, range 0.579-31.410 ng/mg of protein). On the basis of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, a weak inverse association of TSP-1 and -2 with tumour size and cathepsin D was found. Moreover, principal component analysis on ranks evidenced a poor association between TSP-1 and -2, VEGF and TP. The results of the clinical outcome were analysed by both univariate and multivariate [for relapse-free survival (RFS) only]) Cox regression models. TSP-1 and -2 were not significant prognostic factors in univariate analysis for either RFS (p = 0.427) or overall survival (p = 0.069). To investigate the 'angiogenic balance hypothesis', bivariate analyses were performed to investigate the interactions of TSP-1 and -2 with VEGF, TP or p53, but none were included in the selected models. Finally, in multivariate analysis for RFS a baseline model, previously defined in a larger case series and inclusive of VEGF, TP and their interaction was adopted. It was highly significant (p = 0.002, Harrell c statistic value of 0.703); but when TSP-1 and -2 were added, their contribution was negligible (p = 0.731, Harrell c statistic value of 0.705). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that TSP-1 and -2 do not provide additional prognostic contribution to the joint effects of VEGF and TP. In the series of node-negative breast cancer patients investigated, determination of the angiogenic peptides VEGF and TP gave significant prognostic information. On the contrary, TSP-1 and -2, potential naturally occurring negative regulators of angiogenesis, lacked prognostic value.

Evaluation of HER-2/neu in serum and tissue of primary and metastatic breast cancer patients using an automated enzyme immunoassay.

Serum HER-2/neu concentrations were evaluated in 172 healthy subjects, 176 primary and 55 metastatic breast cancer patients, employing a new automated assay (Bayer Immuno 1 serum HER-2/neu). Using 13 ng/mL as the cutoff, abnormal HER-2/neu serum levels were found in 8% (14/176) of primary and 50.9% (28/55) of metastatic breast cancer patients. Both in primary and metastatic breast cancer a significant relationship was found with the stage of the disease when serum HER-2/neu was considered as a categorized variable (p=0.0003 and p=0.02, respectively), but not when it was taken as a continuous variable (p=0.247 and p=0.146, respectively). Moreover, we evaluated the correlation between Immuno 1 HER-2/neu and Oncogene Research Products ELISA assay in 53 normal subjects, 46 primary and 34 metastatic breast cancer patients. The correlation was relatively good (p<0.0001), although substantial differences could be found in single cases. The Immuno 1 assay was also evaluated for the first time in breast cancer tissue. The method, which showed good performance both in terms of imprecision and linearity, was used to measure HER-2/neu protein in 140 cytosol samples from primary breast cancer tissue and in homogenates from 40 matched cases. The correlation between the two matrixes was very close (p<0.0001). By contrast, no correlation was found between serum and matched cytosol (p=0.101) or homogenate samples (p=0.511).

Quantitative measurement of soluble cytokeratin fragments in tissue cytosol of 599 node negative breast cancer patients: a prognostic marker possibly associated with apoptosis.

Apoptosis is associated with caspase-mediated proteolysis of Type I (K18 and K19) cytokeratins. We previously showed a positive association between the levels of tissue polypeptide antigen (TPA), that recognizes cytokeratins K8, K18, and K19 fragments, and induced apoptosis in breast cancer cell lines. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the interrelationships between TPA, steroid receptors, and p53, and their joint prognostic role in node-negative breast cancer patients not treated with adjuvant therapies. Age and pT were also considered since they are known prognostic factors. Five hundred and ninety-nine cases with N- breast cancer were evaluated (median follow-up: 60 months). TPA was measured by an immunoradiometric assay and p53 by an immunochemiluminescent assay in tumor cytosol. Multiple correspondence analysis was used to study the associations among variables. Their prognostic role (univariate analysis) and their joint effect (multivariate analysis) on RFS were investigated with Cox regression models. TPA showed a direct association with ER and PgR. Higher p53 values were weakly associated to low values of ER, PgR, and TPA. Younger age was related to low and intermediate values of ER and PgR and to low p53 values, while older age was related to high values of ER. Multivariate analysis showed a significant prognostic impact for pT, age, ER, and TPA. Among the interactions considered clinically relevant, only that between ER and age was found. RFS estimated values were poorer in cases with lower than in those with higher TPA values, both in patients expected to have a poor (pT2, young age, low ER) and a better prognosis (pT1, older age, high ER). From the findings of the present study we can draw the following conclusions: The relationship of TPA with prognosis gives an additional contribution to pT, age, and steroid receptors in N- breast cancer; TPA may be considered the first marker of apoptosis measured with a fully standardized quantitative method in tumor cytosol and could be evaluated in prognostic indexes including markers related to different biological mechanisms.

Molecular detection of codon 12 K-RAS mutations in circulating DNA from serum of colorectal cancer patients.

Point mutations of the K-RAS gene at codon 12 are found in about 40% of cases with colorectal cancer. The diagnostic implications of the detection of these mutations and their clinical utility are still unclear. The aim of this study was to test both the feasibility of the detection of the mutated K-RAS gene in serum and its potential role in colorectal cancer detection and monitoring. Codon 12 K-RAS mutations were examined in DNA extracted from the serum of 35 patients with colorectal cancer and were compared with the K-RAS status in the corresponding primary tumor. Molecular detection was performed by the mutant-enriched PCR (ME-PCR) assay, a sensitive method capable of distinguishing a small quantity of mutated DNA in the presence of abundant wild-type DNA. The occurrence of mutations was compared with clinicopathological parameters as well as CEA and CA19.9 serum levels. We found codon 12 K-RAS mutations in the tissue of 13/35 (37%) patients. Serum mutations were detected in 5/13 (38.5%) patients with mutated K-RAS in the tissue. 26/35 (74%) patients showed an identical K-RAS pattern in tissue and serum. No codon 12 K-RAS alterations were found in serum samples of 22 patients with benign gastrointestinal diseases. Elevated serum CEA levels were detected in 16 patients, four of whom also presented serum RAS mutations. Our results confirm that K-RAS mutations can be found in circulating DNA extracted from serum samples of patients with colorectal cancer and show that there is a correspondence between serum and tissue K-RAS patterns.

Endogenous interleukin-12: relationship with angiogenic factors, hormone receptors and nodal status in human breast carcinoma.

Interleukin-12 (IL-12) is known to be a key cytokine for regulating immune response, but it is also known to provide some other biological function including inhibition of angiogenesis. We have determined using an enzymatic immunoassay the endogenous levels of IL-12 in 390 cytosols of primary breast cancers previously tested also for the angiogenic peptides, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and thymidine phosphorylase (TP). The concentration of IL-12 ranged from 0 to 7.6 ng/mg protein, and 124 (31.8%) out of 390 cancers showed a detectable dose (>0.1 ng/ml). There was no statistical association of IL-12 levels with tumor size and menopausal status. IL-12 levels tended to be higher in the tumors of node-positive patients as compared to those of node-negative ones (t-test, p=0.082). In addition, IL-12 levels were inversely associated with hormone receptor status, particularly progesterone receptor expression (p=0.0013). There was a significant inverse association between IL-12 and TP concentration (p=0.0007). The proportion of tumors with detectable levels of IL-12 and low levels of either VEGF or TP was higher among the patients with node-negative as compared to those with node-positive disease. On the contrary, the proportion of tumors with no detectable IL-12 and high levels of either VEGF or TP was higher in node-positive versus node-negative cancers. In conclusion, our study evaluated the balance between pro-angiogenic factors (TP and VEGF) and IL-12, as a detectable naturally occurring inhibitor of angiogenesis, in the same series of node-negative and node-positive breast cancers. Further studies are warranted to investigate the biological and clinical significance of the co-determination of pro and contra angiogenic factors in human breast carcinoma.

Comparison of the diagnostic accuracy of CA27.29 and CA15.3 in primary breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: A new, fully automated method that measures the breast cancer-associated glycoprotein CA27.29 has become commercially available. The aim of the present study was to compare this CA27.29 assay with the assay that measures CA15.3 in primary breast cancer. METHODS: The study was performed retrospectively on preoperative serum samples collected from 275 patients with untreated primary breast cancer (154 node positive and 121 node negative). Eighty-three healthy control subjects were also evaluated. CA27.29 was measured using the fully automated Chiron Diagnostics immunochemiluminescent system (ACS:180 BR). CA15.3 was measured with a manual immunoradiometric method (Centocor CA15.3 RIA). RESULTS: In healthy subjects, CA15.3 was significantly higher than CA27.29 (P <0. 0001). On the other hand, in breast cancer patients CA27.29 was higher than CA15.3 (P = 0.013). The mean value found in the control group plus 2 SD was chosen as the positive/negative cutoff point. The overall positivity rates were 34.9% for CA27.29 and 22.5% for CA15.3. The area under the ROC curve was greater (P <0.001) for CA27. 29 (0.72) than for CA15.3 (0.61). Both markers showed a statistically significant, direct relationship, with pathological stage being higher in node-positive than in node-negative cases and in larger than in smaller tumors. Neither CA27.29 nor CA15.3 showed significant associations with age, menopausal status, or tumor receptor status. CONCLUSIONS: CA27.29 discriminates primary breast cancer from healthy subjects better than CA15.3, especially in patients with limited disease. Prospective studies are necessary to confirm this conclusion.

Clinical relevance of vascular endothelial growth factor and thymidine phosphorylase in patients with node-positive breast cancer treated with either adjuvant chemotherapy or hormone therapy.

PURPOSE: To determine the role of the two angiogenic peptides, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and thymidine phosphorylase (TP) (the latter also being a target enzyme for cytotoxicity of 5-fluorouracil and methotrexate), and conventional prognostic factors in predicting relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) probabilities in two cohorts of patients with node-positive breast cancer (NPBC) treated with either adjuvant chemotherapy (CMF [cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, 5-fluorouracil] schedule) or hormone therapy (tamoxifen). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We studied two groups of 137 and 164 patients with NPBC, median follow-up of 72 months for both, treated with adjuvant chemotherapy or hormone therapy, respectively. The cytosolic levels of VEGF and TP were determined in the primary tumor by original immunometric methods. The association between VEGF and TP and of these angiogenic peptides with other prognostic indicators were tested by using the Spearman correlation coefficient (for continuous variables) or the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (for dichotomous variables). Results of the clinical outcome were analyzed by both univariate and multivariate (for RFS only) Cox regression models in which VEGF and TP were treated as continuous variables. RESULTS: In the CMF group, the concentrations of VEGF and TP ranged from 5.8 to 7798 pg/mg of protein (median, 87.5 pg/mg) and from 1.2 to 904 U/mg (median, 138.2 U/mg), respectively. There was no significant association between the two angiogenic peptides. VEGF was not associated with any other variable, whereas TP showed a positive association with age and an inverse association with the number of involved nodes. In the tamoxifen group, the concentrations of VEGF (5.9-2482; median, 79.3 pg/mg protein) and TP (6.1-1542; median, 146.5 U/mg) were similar to those of the CMF group, and the two angiogenic peptides were not correlated. VEGF was positively associated with age and was inversely associated with estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor, whereas TP was not associated with any other variable. Univariate analysis in the CMF group showed that VEGF and TP were significantly predictive of both RFS and OS. Likewise, the number of involved axillary nodes was significantly associated with both RFS and OS. Univariate analysis in the tamoxifen group showed that TP did not significantly influence either RFS or OS. On the contrary, VEGF levels were significantly predictive of both RFS and OS, as were the number of involved nodes, estrogen receptor concentrations, and progesterone receptor concentration. In the multivariate analysis on RFS in the CMF group, VEGF, TP, their first-order interaction term, and age were significant and independent predictive factors. In the tamoxifen group, only VEGF and the number of involved nodes were significant and independent predictive factors. DISCUSSION: The results of our study suggest that high levels of TP and low levels of VEGF characterize the patients with NPBC treated with adjuvant CMF who have the highest likelihood of favorable outcome. Low levels of VEGF and the presence of less than three involved axillary nodes characterize the patients with NPBC treated with adjuvant tamoxifen who have the highest likelihood of favorable outcome. This information may be useful to plan future studies to better select the patients with NPBC for conventional adjuvant treatments as well as to monitor the efficacy of novel therapeutic strategies of adjuvant therapy based on inhibition of angiogenesis.